Prediktor-Prediktor Kebijakan Dividen: Studi Empiris Perusahaan Real Estat dan Properti Indonesia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55837/ed.v4i2.179Keywords:
Kebijakan Dividen, Real Estat, Properti, Bursa Efek Indonesia, Random Effect ModelAbstract
Purpose ― Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menginvestigasi pengaruh profitabilitas, leverage, ukuran perusahaan, dan usia perusahaan terhadap kebijakan dividen pada perusahaan sektor real estat dan properti di Indonesia.
Methods ― Studi ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif berbasis data panel pada 20 perusahaan selama periode 2014–2023, dengan estimasi Random Effect Model (REM) berbasis Generalized Least Squares.
Findings ― Hasil regresi menunjukkan bahwa profitabilitas dan usia perusahaan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kebijakan dividen, sementara ukuran perusahaan berpengaruh negatif. Leverage menunjukkan pengaruh positif namun tidak searah dengan dugaan awal. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa struktur keuangan internal dan kematangan siklus hidup perusahaan lebih dominan dalam memengaruhi kebijakan dividen dibandingkan skala perusahaan.
Implication ― Hasil ini merekomendasikan perlunya penguatan kinerja laba dan optimalisasi struktur modal sebagai instrumen pengelolaan reputasi dan stabilitas pasar dalam kebijakan dividen.
Originality ― Penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi kontekstual terhadap literatur kebijakan dividen di sektor properti negara berkembang, dengan menyoroti dinamika spesifik sektoral yang belum banyak terungkap dalam studi lintas negara.
References
Al Sawalqa, F. A. (2021). Life-cycle theory of corporate dividend policy in Jordan: The role of equities, assets, and age during the period 2015 – 2019. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business Vol 8 No 6, 8(6), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no6.0001
Arhinful, R., Mensah, L., Amin, H. I. M., & Obeng, H. A. (2024). The influence of cost of debt, cost of equity and weighted average cost of capital on dividend policy decision: evidence from non-financial companies listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Future Business Journal, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-024-00384-8
Arifaj, A. H., Berisha, V., Morina, F., & Avdyli, E. (2023). Exploring the impact of cash flow, company size, and debt on financial performance in corporations. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 20(3), 264–272. https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(3).2023.22
Badu, E. A. (2019). Determinants of Dividend Payout Policy of listed Financial Institutions in Ghana. Business, Management and Economics Research, 4(59), 134–141. https://doi.org/10.32861/bmer.59.134.141
Balli, F., Agyemang, A., Gregory-Allen, R., & Ozer Balli, H. (2022). Corporate dividend smoothing: The role of cross-listing. Journal of Corporate Finance, 72(December 2021), 102151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.102151
Benavides, J., Berggrun, L., & Perafan, H. (2016). Dividend payout policies: Evidence from Latin America. Finance Research Letters, 17, 197–210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2016.03.012
Bergmann, P., Kamarás, E., Gleißner, W., & Guenther, E. (2020). Enhanced cash flow valuation in real estate management by integrating innovative materials and risk assessment. Sustainability (Switzerland), 12(6), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12062201
Bhattacharya, S. (1979). Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and “the Bird in the Hand” Fallacy. The Bell Journal of Economics, 10(1), 259–270. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003330
Biørn, E. (2017). Econometrics of Panel Data: Methods and Applications (1st ed.). Oxford University Press.
Brawn, D. A., & Šević, A. (2018). “Firm size matters: Industry sector, firm age and volatility do too in determining which publicly-listed US firms pay a dividend.” International Review of Financial Analysis, 58(April), 132–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.05.002
Cumming, D. J., Javakhadze, D., & Rajkovic, T. (2024). Unlocking Dividends: The impact of managerial social capital on international corporate payouts. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 95(June), 102025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102025
Gusni, G. (2017). The Determinants of Dividend Policy: A Study of Financial Industry in Indonesia. Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 21(4), 562–574. https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v21i4.1521
Haran, M. E., Lo, D., McCord, M., Davis, P., & Lim, L. C. (2020). Impact of firm-level attributes on listed real estate company performance. Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 39(4), 323–348. https://doi.org/10.1108/JPIF-03-2020-0030
Hartono, P. G., Lestari, H. S., Wijaya, R., Hartono, A. B., & Tinungki, G. M. (2020). Likuiditas sebagai Prediktor Profitabilitas: Sebuah Studi Empiris pada Perusahaan Sektor Industri Manufaktur. DERIVATIF: Jurnal Manajemen, 14(2), 126–137. https://doi.org/10.24127/jm.v14i2.475
Hartono, P. G., & Matusin, A. R. (2020). The Determinants of Dividend Policy on Real Estate, Property, and Building Construction Companies Listed in IDX using Unbalanced Panel Data Approach. TIJAB (The International Journal of Applied Business), 4(2), 139. https://doi.org/10.20473/tijab.v4.i2.2020.139-156
Hartono, P. G., & Raya, M. Y. (2022). COVID-19 Pandemic, Dividend Policy, and Stock Market Reaction: Evidence from the Manufacturing Companies in Indonesia. Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 26(4), 758–778. https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8226
Hartono, P. G., & Robiyanto, R. (2023). Factors affecting the inconsistency of dividend policy using dynamic panel data model. SN Business & Economics, 3(2), 53. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-023-00431-6
Hartono, P. G., Robiyanto, R., Tinungki, G. M., Frensidy, B., Raya, M. Y., & Hidarto, A. (2024). Revisiting Dividend Policy and Stock Market Reaction of Indonesian Manufacturing Enterprises amidst the COVID-19 Crisis: A Series of Robustness Checks. Scientific Papers of the University of Pardubice, Series D: Faculty of Economics and Administration, 32(1), 1773. https://doi.org/10.46585/sp32011773
Hartono, P. G., Sari, W. R., Tinungki, G. M., Jakaria, & Hartono, A. B. (2021). The Determinants of Dividend Policy: an Empirical Study of Inconsistent Distribution of Dividends using Balanced Panel Data Analysis. Media Ekonomi Dan Manajemen, 36(2), 89–106. https://doi.org/10.24856/mem.v36i2.2023
Hartono, P. G., Tinungki, G. M., Jakaria, J., Hartono, A. B., Hartono, P. G., & Wijaya, R. (2021). Overcoming Overdispersion on Direct Mathematics Learning Model Using the Quasi Poisson Regression. Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research, 550, 442–449. https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.210508.102
Hartono, P. G., Tinungki, G. M., Suade, Y. K. M., Rahardja, L., Triany, N. A., Tyas, I. W., & Hartono, P. G. (2024). Did investment opportunity moderate the influence of the COVID-19 crisis on dividend policy? Jurnal Manajemen Dan Pemasaran Jasa, 17(2), 261–276. https://doi.org/10.25105/v17i2.20006
Hartono, P. G., Tinungki, G. M., & Susanto, K. P. (2023). COVID-19, Profitability, and Dividend Policy: A Robustness Test for Mediation Model using Covariance-Based SEM. International Journal of Digital Entrepreneurship and Business, 4(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.52238/ideb.v4i1.106
Hartono, P. G., Wijaya, R., Hartono, A. B., Dizar, S., Magetsari, O. N. N., Anggara, I. S., & Sujono, M. I. (2023). Factors affecting stock price of maritime companies in Indonesia. AIP Conference Proceedings, 2675(February). https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0116974
He, W., Ng, L., Zaiats, N., & Zhang, B. (2017). Dividend policy and earnings management across countries. Journal of Corporate Finance, 42, 267–286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2016.11.014
Houqe, M. N., Michael, M., Ali, M. J., & Rahman, D. (2024). Company reputation and dividend payout. Meditari Accountancy Research, 32(6), 2261–2297. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEDAR-12-2023-2249
Islam, R., Haque, Z., & Moutushi, R. H. (2022). Earnings quality and financial flexibility: A moderating role of corporate governance. Cogent Business and Management, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2097620
Jabbouri, I. (2016). Determinants of corporate dividend policy in emerging markets: Evidence from MENA stock markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 283–298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.01.018
Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behaviour, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 305–360.
Kilincarslan, E. (2021). Smoothed or not smoothed: The impact of the 2008 global financial crisis on dividend stability in the UK. Finance Research Letters, 38(December 2019), 101423. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.101423
Kusuma, P. J., Hartoyo, S., & Sasongko, H. (2018). Analysis of Factors that Influence Dividend Payout Ratio of Coal Companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Jurnal Dinamika Manajemen, 9(2), 189–197. https://doi.org/10.15294/jdm.v9i2.16417
Lamoreaux, P. T., Litov, L. P., & Mauler, L. M. (2019). lead Independent Directors: Good governance or window dressing? Journal of Accounting Literature, 43(May), 47–69. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acclit.2019.06.001
Lestari, H. S. (2018). Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 106(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/106/1/012046
Lim, K. (2016). The Shift of a Dividend Policy and a Leverage Policy during the 2008 Financial Crisis. International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, 5(6), 09–14. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijfbs.v5i6.600
Lintner, J. (1956). Distribution of Incomes of Corporations Among Dividends, Retained Earnings, and Taxes. The American Economic Review, 46(2), 97–113.
Lotto, J. (2020). On an ongoing corporate dividend dialogue: Do external influences also matter in dividend decision? Cogent Business and Management, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2020.1787734
Maichal, M., Hartono, P. G., Firman, A., & Yudha, I. M. E. K. (2024). The Influence of Gross Regional Domestic Product Per Capita and Foreign Direct Investment on Income Inequality: An Empirical Study of 34 Provinces in Indonesia. Journal of Economics Research and Social Sciences, 8(2), 197–206. https://doi.org/10.18196/jerss.v8i2.23256
Marpaung, A., Brahmanto, U., & Muharam, H. (2025). Sustainable Dividend Strategies: Analyzing Factors Influencing Dividend Policy in Indonesian Manufacturing Firms. Economic and Business Horizon, 4(2), 55–66. https://lifescifi.com/journal/index.php/ebh/article/view/614
Matyunina, A., & Ongena, S. (2022). Bank capital buffer releases, public guarantee programs, and dividend bans in COVID-19 Europe: an appraisal. European Journal of Law and Economics, 54(1), 127–152. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10657-022-09734-9
Muda, I., Dharsuky, A., Sadalia, I., & Siregar, H. S. (2016). Impact of capital investments and cash dividend policy on Regional Development Bank (BPD) Pt. Bank Sumut to the district own source revenue and economic growth. International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 14(11), 7863–7880.
Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 187–221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
Oh, H., & Park, S. (2021). Corporate sustainable management, dividend policy and chaebol. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(13), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137495
Panda, A. K., & Nanda, S. (2018). Working capital financing and corporate profitability of Indian manufacturing firms. Management Decision, 56(2), 441–457. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-07-2017-0698
Panda, B., & Leepsa, N. M. (2017). Agency theory: Review of theory and evidence on problems and perspectives. Indian Journal of Corporate Governance, 10(1), 74–95. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974686217701467
Pattiruhu, J. R., & Paais, M. (2020). Effect of Liquidity, Profitability, Leverage, and Firm Size on Dividend Policy. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(10), 35–42. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no10.035
Perry, K. (2020). The property sector approach to major projects risk, uncertainty and complexity. Journal of Mega Infrastructure & Sustainable Development, 2(1), 69–86. https://doi.org/10.1080/24724718.2021.1932017
Ranajee, R., Pathak, R., & Saxena, A. (2018). To pay or not to pay: what matters the most for dividend payments? International Journal of Managerial Finance, 14(2), 230–244. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMF-07-2017-0144
Robiyanto, R., & Yunitaria, F. (2022). Dividend announcement effect analysis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. SN Business & Economics, 2(2), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-021-00198-8
Santosa, P. B., Rini, I., Pangestuti, D., & Wahyudi, S. (2023). Dividend policy in Indonesian banking sector during COVID-19 pandemic period. Cogent Social Sciences, 9(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2023.2272657
Sari, W. R. (2017). Dividend Policy of Indonesian State-Owned Enterprises. Telaah Bisnis, 18(1), 33–44. http://journal.stimykpn.ac.id/index.php/tb/article/download/92/50
Sekaran, U., & Bougie, R. (2016). Research Methods for Bussiness A Skill-Bulding Approach (7th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Sethi, S. P., Martell, T. F., & Demir, M. (2017). An Evaluation of the Quality of Corporate Social Responsibility Reports by Some of the World’s Largest Financial Institutions. Journal of Business Ethics, 140(4), 787–805. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-015-2878-8
Setiawan, D., Bandi, B., Kee Phua, L., & Trinugroho, I. (2016). Ownership structure and dividend policy in Indonesia. Journal of Asia Business Studies, 10(3), 230–252. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABS-05-2015-0053
Sharma, R. K. (2021). Factors influencing dividend decisions of Indian construction, housing and real estate companies: An empirical panel data analysis. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 26(4), 5666–5683. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2087
Sharma, R. K., & Bakshi, A. (2019). An evident prescience of determinants of dividend policy of Indian real estate companies: An empirical analysis using co-integration regression and generalised method of moments. Journal of Financial Management of Property and Construction, 24(3), 358–384. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFMPC-02-2019-0012
Sugiastuti, H. R., Dzulkirom, M., & Rahayu, M. S. (2018). Effect of Profitability, Leverage toward Dividend Policy and Firm Value. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 8(80), 88–96. https://doi.org/10.18551/rjoas.2018-08.12
Tinungki, G. M., Hartono, P. G., Frensidy, B., Sunusi, N., Robiyanto, R., & Atahau, A. D. R. (2025). Revisiting dividend policy in Indonesian green investment firms and associated market reaction: an in-depth analysis over crises period. Cogent Business and Management, 12(1), 1–36. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2025.2467229
Tinungki, G. M., Hartono, P. G., Robiyanto, R., Hartono, A. B., Jakaria, J., & Simanjuntak, L. R. (2022). The COVID-19 Pandemic Impact on Corporate Dividend Policy of Sustainable and Responsible Investment in Indonesia: Static and Dynamic Panel Data Model Comparison. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(10), 6152. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14106152
Tinungki, G. M., Robiyanto, R., & Hartono, P. G. (2022). The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Corporate Dividend Policy in Indonesia: The Static and Dynamic Panel Data Approaches. Economies, 10(1), 11. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10010011
Usman, B., Lestari, H. S., Syofyan, S., & Esya, L. (2024). Exploring the relationship between dividend policy, the COVID-19 crisis, and stock market reaction: empirical insights from Indonesian real estate and property firms. Cogent Business and Management, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2024.2302204
Wang, Y., Zhang, Y., Chang, X., & Kang, W. (2024). CEO tenure and environmental fraud for listed family firms. Business Strategy and the Environment, 33(3), 1887–1905. https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.3571
Wijaya, J., Hartono, P. G., Setiawati, J., Wijaya, J., Sutanto, R. S., & Chendry, E. J. W. (2025). The profitability of Indonesian infrastructure companies amid COVID-19: Quantile regression for stability testing. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 26(1), 135–156. https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.v26i1.24971
Wirama, D. G., Krisnadewi, K. A., Artini, L. G. S., & Ardiana, P. A. (2024). Dividend policy and residual dividend theory: evidence from Indonesia. Asian Journal of Accounting Research, 9(3), 201–216. https://doi.org/10.1108/AJAR-10-2023-0347
Zhang, X., & Xu, L. (2021). Firm life cycle and debt maturity structure: evidence from China. Accounting and Finance, 61(1), 937–976. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12600
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Ekonomi Digital

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Most read articles by the same author(s)
- Powell Gian Hartono, Dwiarko Nugrohoseno, Anang Kistyanto, Merger dan Akuisisi sebagai Strategi Korporasi: Implikasi terhadap Profitabilitas, Likuiditas, Efisiensi Aset, dan Struktur Modal di Indonesia , Ekonomi Digital: Vol. 4 No. 1 (2025): Februari




